Forex Optimum

Эксперт дал прогноз по курсу рубля

Ведущий аналитик Forex Optimum Иван Капустянский дал прогноз по курсу рубля.
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Номинальный ВВП в России снизился в апреле на 28%

Номинальный ВВП в России снизился в апреле на 28%
Почти на треть ниже оказался в апреле номинальный ВВП по сравнению с апрелем прошлого года, подсчитал Минфин России. Причины падения были ожидаемы — неработающие предприятия и закрывшаяся сфера услуг, а также резко подешевевшая нефть.

https://preview.redd.it/54l38nnq4vz41.png?width=1200&format=png&auto=webp&s=59c37864e1969380f187d4f79d6f5b1cf748c74e
Номинальный ВВП в России в нерабочем апреле оказался на 28% ниже, чем показатель за этот месяц в прошлом году, сообщает во вторник, 19 апреля, принадлежащее Григорию Березкину РБК со ссылкой на ежемесячный отчет Минфина.
Апрельский номинальный ВВП в 2020 году составил 6,3 трлн рублей, что на 2,4 трлн рублей меньше, чем в апреле прошлого года.
Это первая официальная оценка экономической динамики в апреле, после того как в стране на фоне пандемии были объявлены нерабочие дни и большинство предприятий и сфера услуг приостановили свою работу.
Номинальный ВВП рассчитывается в текущих ценах, тем самым учитывается и текущая ценовая конъюнктура в экономике. Реальный ВВП, в отличие от номинального, считается в сопоставимых ценах, то есть с учетом инфляции за отчетный период.

Объем реального ВВП, по прогнозу Минфина, может уменьшиться в апреле на 20% к апрелю 2019 года.

Такое падение вполне укладывается в международные оценки экономических потерь в результате карантинов: Организация экономического сотрудничества и развития оценивает прямой начальный удар по ВВП в таких случаях примерно в 20-25% для большинства развитых экономик.

Еще и нефть подвела

Как отмечается, обвальное снижение валового продукта могли вызвать не только карантин и режим самоизоляции, но и резкое падение цен на нефть на глобальном рынке.
Средняя цена российской нефти Urals в апреле 2020 года составила $18,2 за баррель (против $71,5 годом ранее).
Рассчитать эффект влияния коронавируса и режима самоизоляции на экономику более или менее точно эксперты пока затрудняются. Но по оценке старшего экономиста Oxford Economics Евгении Слепцовой, вклад карантинов и вынужденной остановки промышленности и сферы услуг в падение российского ВВП в 2020 году окажется больше, чем вклад дешевой нефти и сокращения ее добычи. Соотношение будет примерно три к двум.
По оценкам управляющего директора УК «Агидель» Виктора Тунева, на низкие цены на нефть приходится приблизительно 10 п.п. в апрельском падении ВВП, то есть около трети, отмечает издание.
Другие экономические индикаторы за апрель также указывают на просадку экономической активности, но не такую сильную.
Например, погрузка на Российских железных дорогах снизилась на 5,9% год к году. Но погрузка на экспорт выросла на 2–3%, смягчив падение на 10–12% по внутренним перевозкам, оценил Альфа-банк.
Объем потребления электричества тоже сократился — на 2,9% (с коррекцией на сезонный и температурный факторы). Но с учетом того, что выросло энергопотребление россиян, вынужденно остающихся дома, снижение производственной активности можно грубо оценить в 13-17%, сообщал ранее Центр макроэкономического анализа и прогнозирования.
Индекс деловой активности PMI (Purchasing Managers Index) PMI обрабатывающих отраслей, рассчитываемый компанией IHS Markit, упал с 47,5 в марте до 31,3 в апреле, указав на самое существенное ухудшение конъюнктуры с 1997 года.

Нерабочий месяц может вычесть из годового ВВП России от 1,5 до 2%, говорится в обнародованном 6 мая докладе Банка России о денежно-кредитной политике.

«По оценкам Банка России, сам по себе один полный нерабочий месяц может вычесть из годового ВВП от 1,5 до 2,0% (или от 4,5 до 6% из ВВП соответствующего квартала)», — отмечается в докладе ЦБ.
«Постепенное смягчение условий карантина должно играть в пользу менее значимого спада активности по сравнению с первоначальными ожиданиями», — отмечали 15 мая аналитики Альфа-банка.
Президент Владимир Путин 11 мая объявил о начале смягчения карантинных ограничений, введенных с 30 апреля. С 12 мая единый режим нерабочих дней закончился, теперь решения о снятии ограничений будут принимать главы регионов.
Понимая, что карантин окажет негативное влияние на рост ВВП правительство обнародовало три пакета мер государственной поддержки бизнеса и граждан, пострадавших от ограничительных мер. Сумма двух пакетов поддержки экономики составила 2,1 трлн руб., но лишь часть из них – это прямые расходы госбюджета. Большая часть — госгарантии по кредитам.

Господдержка: слишком мало, слишком поздно

Стоимость третьего пакета, объявленного в мае, оценивается в 800 млрд рублей. Эксперты и бизнес считают, что правительство могло бы увеличить объем помощи.

По мнению экспертов ЦМАКП, на антикризисную поддержку необходимо до 3,3 трлн рублей.

Резкое падение номинального ВВП в текущих условиях беспокоит Минфин, потому что падение реального ВВП — это прямое падение доходов бюджета и оно может оказаться значительным из-за того, что инфляция начала активно расти. «В апреле индекс потребительских цен в России вырос до 3,1%. Более того, ожидается, что инфляция продолжит рост и к концу года окажется в районе 4%», — сказал «Газете.Ru» ведущий аналитик Forex Optimum Иван Капустянский.
«Особенность этого кризиса заключается в значительной помощи со стороны государства, а это требует дополнительных расходов бюджета. «Иными словами, Минфин, сообщая о падении ВВП, дает понять, что есть проблема с тем, откуда брать деньги сейчас и в будущем», — заключил эксперт.
Реальный ВВП в апреле действительно может просесть в апреле на уровне, близком к 20%. Действие карантинных мер и активное снижение внешнего и внутреннего спроса являются основными драйверами такого снижения, уточняет Антон Покатович из «БКС Премьер», добавляя, что по итогам 2020 года снижение реального ВВП может составить на 5-7%.

Источник
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Российские работодатели начали активно запрашивать кредитную историю сотрудников

Российские работодатели начали активно запрашивать кредитную историю сотрудников

https://preview.redd.it/qh98axeys2q31.jpg?width=1400&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=16d304a276f0b565342574224cc531d786974ded
Российские работодатели начали активно запрашивать кредитную историю сотрудников. Более того, они интересуются финансовой дисциплиной даже кандидатов на вакансии. Если запрос в Бюро кредитных историй покажет, что в прошлом у соискателя были проблемные займы, то на работу его обычно не берут. Как работодатели используют кредитную историю сотрудников и как быть тем, кто имел проблемы, но хочет получать большую зарплату?
Несколько месяцев Игорь не мог понять, почему он никак не может устроиться на работу. Приходит на собеседование, вроде бы всё начинается хорошо. Кадровики не нарадуются, как он подходит под описание вакансии: большой опыт в продажах, более десяти лет проработал в торговых компаниях. Только после собеседования никто не перезванивал. Игорь так и мучился бы догадками, пока одна сотрудница отдела кадров не порекомендовала ему обратить внимание на свою кредитную историю. Оказалось, что работодатели делали запрос в Бюро кредитных историй и видели, что в прошлом у Игоря были займы с серьёзными просрочками. В результате ему потребовалось несколько месяцев, чтобы найти работу в фирме, где никто не интересовался финансовым прошлым соискателей.
С проверкой сталкиваются и уже работающие сотрудники российских компаний. Например, работодатель может посмотреть кредитную историю, если хочет кого-то повысить по службе. Если история плохая, то продвижения по службе можно не дождаться. Бывает и наоборот. В частности, когда в компании не хотят официально объявлять о сокращении штата, а прибыль падает и требуется сократить расходы на персонал. Люди с плохой кредитной историей обычно первыми попадают в список под увольнение или сокращение зарплаты. Конечно, это не становится официальной причиной. Формальный повод всегда другой.

Законны ли запросы руководителей

Самый первый вопрос, который волнует работников, а законны ли вообще запросы руководителя в Бюро кредитных историй. Многие считают это вмешательством в частную жизнь. Более того, полагают любопытство работодателя излишним. Казалось бы, какое отношение кредитное прошлое имеет к работе. На самом деле всё не так просто.
— Работодатель вправе запрашивать кредитную историю как физических, так и юридических лиц из Бюро кредитных историй, — говорит старший управляющий партнёр юридической компании PG Partners Петр Гусятников. — Причём не имеет значения, является ли человек, чью историю запрашивают, сотрудником, действующим контрагентом организации или нет. Такое право работодателю даёт ст. 6 закона №218-ФЗ "О кредитных историях".
Правда, тут кроется важный нюанс. Сделать запрос в Бюро кредитных историй работодатель может только с письменного согласия проверяемого. Петр Гусятников обращает внимание, что без ведома соискателя официально получить такую информацию невозможно.
Поэтому если на собеседовании вам внезапно отказывают, ссылаясь на кредитную историю, то тут может быть два варианта, — поясняет юрист. — Либо вы сами подписали согласие на запрос кредитной истории при заполнении документов перед собеседованием. К сожалению, такое по-прежнему встречается достаточно часто. Многие ленятся внимательно читать то, что они подписывают. Либо работодатель получил эти данные неофициально, то есть незаконно.
Впрочем, на практике как-то наказать руководство компании почти невозможно даже если сведения о кандидате были получены без его согласия. В этом случае просто находят другой формальный повод для отказа. Не ссылаются на кредитную историю, а говорят, что фирме не подходит, например, профессиональный опыт соискателя.

Что может узнать работодатель из вашей кредитной истории

— Последнее время подобная практика всё чаще встречается у крупных работодателей, — поясняет директор Академии управления финансами и инвестициями Арсений Дадашев. — Кредитная история может помочь им узнать больше о кандидате. Она позволит выяснить, как часто соискатель менял место жительства, работы и номер телефона, а также по каким причинам он брал кредиты и как их гасил.
Логика работодателя проста. Допустим, если у человека есть ипотека, то он вряд ли захочет быстро уйти из компании и с большой вероятностью будет добросовестно трудиться, рассчитывая на повышение. Если человек на собеседовании говорит одно, а кредитная история показывает другое, то налицо обман работодателя. Значит кандидату есть что скрывать и его нельзя считать надёжным. По словам Арсения Дадашева, помешать трудоустройству могут и множественные микрозаймы и потребкредиты. Они красноречиво показывают, что человек просто не умеет планировать свои расходы.
Особенно трепетно к кредитным историям относятся финансовые организации и государственные службы. Тщательнее всего проверяют соискателей на должности бухгалтера, главного бухгалтера, финансового и коммерческого директоров. Одним словом, проверяют в первую очередь тех, кто работает с деньгами и ценным имуществом. Поэтому есть вероятность, что такие должности людям с плохой кредитной историей уже не удастся получить. По крайней мере, в крупных компаниях. В небольших фирмах так тщательно сотрудников ещё не проверяют и прошлыми займами обычно не интересуются.

Как устроиться на хорошую работу с плохой кредитной историей

— Чтобы получить хорошую работу, есть два пути, — говорит ведущий аналитик Forex Optimum Иван Капустянский. — Первый — сменить сферу деятельности и начать строить карьеру в тех областях, где проверка кредитной истории не так распространена. Это обычно работы, не связанные с деньгами и материальной ответственностью. Второй — исправить кредитную историю.
Действительно, исправить плохую кредитную историю можно. Как отмечает Иван Капустянский, для этого, как ни парадоксально, придётся взять новый кредит и чётко исполнять по нему все свои обязательства. Причём такой хороший заём должен быть не один. Впрочем, даже если последующие кредиты будут погашены аккуратно, то для изменения ситуации потребуется много времени. Да и прошлые проблемы и просрочки платежей останутся видны в Бюро кредитных историй (БКИ).
— Некоторые банки предлагают специальный продукт по исправлению кредитной истории, — рассказывает руководитель группы аналитиков ЦАФТ (Центр аналитики и финансовых технологий) Марк Гойхман. — Он заключается в предоставлении небольших займов или оплате услуг банка в рассрочку. Если кредиты гасятся вовремя, например, в течение полугода, информация об этом передаётся в БКИ. Таким образом уже появляются позитивные сведения. Хотя, конечно, неизвестно, будет ли этого достаточно для работодателя.
Источник - https://creditpage.ru/
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Bitcoin surges previous $15,000 to strike its optimum degree due to the fact January 2018 | Forex News | Economical and Business enterprise News

Bitcoin surges previous $15,000 to strike its optimum degree due to the fact January 2018 | Forex News | Economical and Business enterprise News submitted by wilkinsonknaggs1 to u/wilkinsonknaggs1 [link] [comments]

i-AMA-Optimum MetaTrader 4 Forex Indicator - Download MT4 Free!

i-AMA-Optimum MetaTrader 4 Forex Indicator - Download MT4 Free! submitted by ForexMTindicators to u/ForexMTindicators [link] [comments]

[FOR HIRE] An Experienced Financial Markets Trader Will Teach You How To Be Profitable and Consistent

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My Reddit history says all about my portfolio for reference. Please don't hesitate to contact me so I can help you become part of the top 2%. Payment would be through PayPal for interested individuals.
Regards, SnD
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Forex Brokerage Tools | Forex Broker Solutions | Tools For Brokers

If you are into the forex business, you surely understand the importance of Forex Brokerage Tools that help in the profitability and productivity of the forex brokerage business.
Let us put some light on the essential forex brokerage tools:

Forex CRM:

CRM which is known as Customer Relationship Management is the most important tool when it comes to running a successful business.
CRM is also known as the backbone of the organization as it gulps all the information about your clients and the activities, etc. Being a single software it is of multi-utility.
Not only does this tool serve as an all under one roof platform, but it also enables you to execute marketing strategies, cross-selling and upselling to current customers, and establish brand recognition between traders, all personalized and automated centered on exclusive information.
A good forex CRM helps in Accounting and analysing also it helps in generating reports and helps in increasing the sales by promptly listing down the data required helping management get the utmost solution.
Click the below link and have a look at the features of our Forex CRM:

Copy Trader:

For traders who lack experience in a forex market or who have minimal time to dedicate to trading for them copy trading is an ultimate solution.
Copy trading is where the positions of one trader are copied when they are opened or closed by another trader’s account. This can be either automatic or manual, and it’s up to a person to decide how they want to do copy trading.
Copy-trading or social trading is one of the finest forex brokerage tools that lead to profitability where a novice trader could easily copy the strategies of the experienced trader and eventually they could grow into a confident and reliable trader.

Risk Management Tool:

The risk management tool is one of the most essential and effective tools to be used in order to generate the productivity of the business.
As we all know that the forex market is highly volatile and unpredictable which could lead to uncertainties and certain risks.
With a proper risk management tool, one can easily encounter the risks and could take effective measures to overcome them.
A good risk management tool removes unnecessary losses for your client hence growing your efficiency. In order to be able to handle multiple traders or trading groups and various positions that contribute to optimum customer loyalty and profitability for your brokerage, you should be able to track your positions and risk at any given time.

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All the above mentioned Forex Brokerage Tools are highly recommended for all the forex brokers either you are new to the business or maybe experienced. By using these tools you can increase the growth of your forex brokerage business making it run for a longer period of time.
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Use a bookmark, or copy-paste, don't type

My cable went out so I tried to go to my cable provider, optimum.com, but I typed "optinum" instead and got redirected to a page on "get.safely-browse.net" saying my browser was insecure, and I should go to the chrome web store and download a particular extension in order to browse securely. There was a tiny "Why am I seeing this" at the bottom, clicking it said "You are seeing this ad because you went to our website or we were placing ads for people interested in safe." I declined to click on anything, and after a minute it redirected (through a Google link to disguise things) to optinum.co.za, an actual company. I tried going back to the safely-browse page to take a screenshot, but they apparently banned my IP as I the page now shows 404.
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The Flaw in the Free Education Theory.

The Flaw in the Free Education Theory.
Open letter to those who believe we can learn to be profitable traders for free. I have some points I think I need answered in this theory.

Before I go further; I do not sell Forex education, do not know anyone I'd recommend and have no inputs what-so-ever on who would be good to pay to learn. This is not an advert, it just objective.

We'll start by entertaining this notion that we can all learn for free (and we'll ignore the inconvenient fact that almost no one actually makes money even though this free stuff is there for all). So let's warp into a m alternative reality where most people can easily make money in Forex if they just read the free education. Put aside 100 hours, and you're set. All that's left now is picking out the colour of your jet.

How does the market work? Oh ... that's right. Buyers and sellers. What happens when everyone know the same stuff and that same stuff is actually correct? Everyone takes the exact same trades. Seems legit, but wait a second ... who takes the other side of the trade? This is a problem, since we'd have to assume if everyone could learn for free, then everyone would and therefore the markets would reach a nash equilibrium. Like playing knots and crosses when both of you know optimum strategy, there is no way anyone can win or lose.

So, if in theory we could all win with free education, we'd accelerate towards a point where no one can win. Seems legit.

What would happen, in this magical world where we all know the right thing to do and no one has any edge at all? Would it be possible that there'd be some groups of large entities like banks that were able to notice everyone was doing the exact same thing? Do you think they will do the same thing when they know no one can win doing that? Does this seem logical?

it's not logical. What is logical is they will trade against these positions. How would that happen?


Position Clusters

In the above example we've all learned from our Babypips where to buy. Everyone knows this. So everyone does it. Price will start to move up. So if a bigger player wanted to profit here, they'd find it harder to get the price they want (or they'd get it first, meaning none of us get the price we want which also fucks the entire theory). They can do better just trading against you. It really is simple, because everyone has already laid out their easy take profit area.

They can sell when all the mass positions start to push the market up and they can then dump this position into your stops.
Stop Grab

Does this look like something actively happening in the markets day to day (Uh huh).

How long do you think it would take for everyone using free same free stuff available (and the same free indicators in the same free trading platforms) before what the people using this free stuff do becomes stupidly predictable? How long after this do you think it would become useless because larger entities traded against these positions? Finally ... how long has there been free education for all. Are you getting the picture here?

Parts of free education are useful. In the same way that learning about words and punctuation is useful to a person who'd want to write a book. However, what the free education theory is more akin to is all of us going out and copy/pasting the Harry Potter books and all of us selling as many as JK herself. Again, seems legit. We can all do exactly the same thing, but somehow (from who knows where) wee still find the same volume of people to be on the consumer end. I mean, they have their own Harry Potter books too, but they still go out and buy them .... from everyone. Does any of this sound logical?

So my question is, for those who promote this idea, how does it work? Can you explain to me using the dynamics of how the market has to work (not just saying pointless things like "if you have to pay it's a scam") how it would be possible for us all to learn for free and then continue to profit from that?
submitted by whatthefx to Forex [link] [comments]

Let's Talk About Trading Reversals

Let's Talk About Trading Reversals
I feel I could have done much better this week. The retracement of GPJPY on Friday from the 132.15 high got me out of the week at a profit, but I really think I should have done better. I'll spend the whole weekend dissecting my trades and working out where I may have made mistakes and where I can improve upon these.

Part of my reason for joining here was to teach things that work for me, and to learn about things working for others. The best thing for me is for people to provide well thought out and well presented suggestions on ways I can improve upon weaknesses. I've always made my bigger major breakthroughs in trading based on this. Small observations, well explained by people who know what they're talking about.

I've had it said to me many times here that I can not take criticism, but that's not true. I assure you, I'll be 1,000 times more critical of my mistakes that anyone else. I will still be working on them long after others forget them. What I am not interested in is comments I've got here that usually amount to, "You're stupid, and I think I am a better person than you". I'm not here to learn how to be egotistical, I already know how to do that.

In this post I'll discuss how trading reversals, and particularly how I traded shorts on GBPJPY this week. I'll start by doing a run through of the trades I took.
Thing started well, shorting on Monday 129 - 128.25 (Here my sell was stopped out right before it dropped 100 more pips, so I was not happy with this winning trade. I view it as 100 pips loss in some ways).

Then I bought the low of 127 with a 128 target, but took profit and reversed 127.40.

Stopped out this trade, and sold 128.
Stopped out, and sold 128.50.
Stopped out, and decided to stop selling. Worked on a more developed plan in case the market continued to go up.
Bought 130 area, and took profit 131.
131.50 area started selling again, got some stop outs. Sold high 132.15.

All my stops were 10 - 20 pips. Very tight for this pair.

Where I'm going to focus here is 131.50 - 132 area. Getting stopped out for 10 pips when the market goes up 300 more is fine for me. I can work on filtering these trades, but as far as I'm concerned I am losing these well. Someone commented on one my GBPJPY sells signals from 128.50 saying I was "Rekt" when it went to 130 ... but I got out for 15 pips. This is exactly the type of useless "feedback" that's obviously worth ignoring. Hopefully this post can be a more constructive conversation.

So here is where I am starting to sell GBPJPPY and getting spiked out. I call myself out on the mistake I am making.
https://preview.redd.it/g3k0sfndi1l31.png?width=678&format=png&auto=webp&s=dfc6b9c8afeea66a4292301c5b3f143062bf02f7

I then took up my own advice, set some limits. Took some more nominal stop losses for 10 pips or less and got in a good trade 132.15.

https://preview.redd.it/87xbdrhcj1l31.png?width=815&format=png&auto=webp&s=33ca2e15bbe216f9fb3fe1b00e885a1c63aaafea
https://preview.redd.it/4rmiujljj1l31.png?width=758&format=png&auto=webp&s=7103dfefb681d8db748cefd3c6ab0fcae2b5fd2b
Source https://www.reddit.com/Forex/comments/czyoo6/i_think_a_huge_gbpjpy_sell_is_due/ez7any5/

I added to my sell 132, 132.05 and 131.90.

The end result of this was profitable, but I know I can do better. This is one of my known areas of improvement.
I'd be interested in sharing ideas and thoughts with people on how to improve here. These have to be comprehensive, though. Including entries, exits and Rprobability assessments. Saying things that amount to cliches and catchphrases do not help. I've also thought of the obvious things.

Options for Trading Reversals



So now we'll get onto some of the options we have to trade this move, and the risks and rewards we get in each one.
I've covered what I've done here. My risk is I am going to invariably get whipsaw stop outs, have to re-enter a few times and have random people telling me I got "rekt". I can deal with all of these, because I'm getting into RR situations that have 10 - 20 + pay outs with the ways I structure positions, add to winning trades and trail stops. I need to be successful something like 7% of the time doing this, and I am successful more than that. Makes sense, to me.

These are the other ways of trading this I am interested in speaking about.
https://preview.redd.it/namn0aahl1l31.png?width=743&format=png&auto=webp&s=02a972ce8f8f42110fb0a3eccf7122950cda68ba
We'll take them one at a time, and I will explain these setups as I think the people are saying to trade them. If I'm wrong, kindly correct me. I'm just basing this on what people who usually say this give when asked to elaborate (assuming they do).

So here is number one. We wait for a sell signal.

https://preview.redd.it/4x504q3ul1l31.png?width=1342&format=png&auto=webp&s=109a2440bd4a424c1e2577ab3ad69fcc76dd7ccb
What now? How do we enter?
If we enter at the low, we're fair game for stop hunting unless we use the highs. Inside of the swing down leg we can expect price to trade in there, even if it's going to fall more. So if we enter after the signal, we have high stop out probabilities unless above the high. Above the high, we have usually 80 - 100 pip stop.
So it seems this is not offering the same RR if we assume the market does top and then fall 500 pips. It's a less profitable trade, or the same, even accounting for it having higher win rate.
Our second option is to wait for the retrace and limit in. This is a great trade.
https://preview.redd.it/rumv8utfm1l31.png?width=1344&format=png&auto=webp&s=16245690beae9c11d10dc569f1e83e251127db6f
Trouble is, this does not always happen. The retrace is not always predictable. So when we use this method, our reward is good entries, good RR, "confirmed" signal. Our risk is missing a big move. For the highly risk adverse, this is probably ideal, but for those who can take small losses for a big win, this is not optimum.

Our other option is to place sell stops, so we enter into momentum. I've shown the areas for this in red.
https://preview.redd.it/kfyaqwsxm1l31.png?width=1036&format=png&auto=webp&s=b35911a87fe57e2ae1c153d368da2ea905f761c9
We have the same issue on RR. Where to place the stops. Has to be above the high, really. Or we have the same risk of small stop outs we have in my method, but we have a worse price.

Here I've circled all the points these alternative confirmed entry strategies flag up sells.
https://preview.redd.it/1zu6ydkcn1l31.png?width=819&format=png&auto=webp&s=184d17cb15574dccf5aa849b0cac74a36fd42f86
On all occasions using the breakout rules, they enter at almost the worst possible price. On the retrace rules, they enter at good price but lose. My trades have engaged the same levels of this (apart from me stopping selling before the 129 trap). I've lost 10 -20 pips on them, and these other signals generated losses of 60 - 80 pips. Same bets, same levels. 1/4 losses, and 400% more RR per trade.

Could those who have different ways in which they approach these reversals explain their rational for it in the same way I've went through mine here?

1 - What the entry signals is.
2 - Where to enter.
3 - Where to stop.
4 - Applying this to losing signals as well as winners (not cherry picking).

If you do this better than I do, I'd be interested in how you do it and your rational for it.
I'm also interested in well thought out explanations of mistakes I make/areas I can improve, as long as it's comprehensive. I'm not the best I can be. I want to get better. I am very keen to learn where I can. I always deeply consider constructive critics and ideas based on what I do (or things others do).
submitted by whatthefx to Forex [link] [comments]

Shorting Noobs - Fake News, False Breakouts and the Sneeze.

Shorting Noobs - Fake News, False Breakouts and the Sneeze.
Part [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6]
In preparation for the possibility of GBPUSD (et al) making some major spike out moves on large charts and potentially entering into sharp corrective moves, I've been honing in on another area of trend trading mistakes. Up to now, the main focus has been on the 50/61 trap [2] [3]. This has been largely effective. Some pretty wild swings, but it's ultimately swinging in the right direction. This is to be expected. Markets have made this sort of pattern for decades. I've no idea why people think it's not there or is going away any time soon. For the time being, betting on it has great odds.

I've said in previous posts the 61.8 trap formation is one of the areas where most of the money is made and lost in Forex. This is the other one. Between these two points, it would be my guess this is where most retail traders lose their money. It's where I've lost most of mine, I am sure of that. They are cunning traps, and these traps snap down hard. In the 50/61 trap section we've covered how to enter into the start of trend legs, and now we'll cover how to exit at the optimum profit level (and reverse).

We'll start looking at what I've explained previously while alluding to this mistake. This is the first selling mistake, indicated in the chart here with a 3 as we switch from black to blue.

https://preview.redd.it/l0hwb7k9eqi31.png?width=715&format=png&auto=webp&s=a49ea3bbf2cac1ecaca171baa16b5cac241b2111
Source: https://www.reddit.com/Forex/comments/clbxk2/shorting_noobs_common_trend_following_mistakes_im/

The mistake is explained as "breakout trading rushing in", and also as an area people are stopped out using H/L rules.
I've explain many times in many ways how news events can carry what essentially amounts to misinformation in terms of what you do in trading, and how these events are often found marking out the extremes in trend moves. I've mainly focused on entering in line with the trend to this point, but the same is true for the end of a trend/start of correction.

https://preview.redd.it/k3m9fkngfqi31.png?width=715&format=png&auto=webp&s=9f2b56e619445b0ce8e58352bfbca02e6428ae42
https://www.reddit.com/Forex/comments/clbxk2/shorting_noobs_common_trend_following_mistakes_im/

I've also explained how I design my trade plans ignoring any news there may be in the sense that I do not do analysis on it (or try to guess it). While doing this I've explained that I do think it's very possible news events will feature during the moves. They usually do. I do not need to know about them. All I need to do is make a trade plan that understands it might have volatile moves in it, and how a person would give themselves the best chance to profit from that.

https://preview.redd.it/0dboiov1gqi31.png?width=709&format=png&auto=webp&s=61b89626b18a18452b27ef2756631bd58d6ca445

This news stuff is very important. You need to understand that when I think about news events, I think of them in terms of the sort of price moves they create ... because nothing else matters!
I know in some parts of the cycles price moves fast. Sometimes it moves in ways that abnormal, seeming. I also know that when there are news events, these are the things that happen. So when we are trading in areas where I know price can move aggressively, I also know there may be news triggers for this. Here are the areas I'd expect news triggers. Red circles are sell news and green buy news.

https://preview.redd.it/sj07v00khqi31.png?width=736&format=png&auto=webp&s=6f71af323d151cfc6fe6b83f2c19465b3c8c907c
Of course, the way the market actually moves does not have to make any sense at all relative to the news. Let's face it, it rarely does. Not without some mental gymnastics anyway. This is why I'm not paying attention to that. There are points at which I actually expect the news move to make no sense at all. One of these is in the rally to retest the high, notice the circle for the news event is before the spike up.
So when I make winning trades that take profit in some news event, it's entirely correct to say I did not know that was going to happen. However, it's entirely incorrect to assume I did not calculate there being "some event". It is wrong to think yourself mere cannon fodder to these sorts of events, you can do better (Test! I'd like you to come to understand this, and it must be learned, there's only so much I can teach).

Now, I had been setting this up to trade the possible swing from GBPUSD making a spike out low, and this would have been some time from now (at least days, I'd expect) but we've got a chance to test out this feature early using social indicators. Social indicators are a thing. They are really useful for spotting these.

https://preview.redd.it/b458e36bkqi31.png?width=751&format=png&auto=webp&s=49d8e44741989d6c8ee7121733f0d2dd7b2e31ab
Main sorts of indicators. "What just happened?", "HUGE breakout on XXXXXX", "Game changing news .... XXXXXX breaks the highs ... to the moon". Any of this stuff, when you see it and go look on a chart for counter signals of whatever it is that is implying. Look and see if we've had the conditions that predict this kind of breakout - then fade the public chatter.
Look out for flash in the pan news events. Do not follow these, they are nonsense. I promise you, when there's someone who tells you otherwise talking about what they think happened, I am executing on my positions. When they first found out something was happening, I may well have been hitting my take profits.

These "market movers" tend to be over and done with in an hour. Unless you followed them ... then you're stuck in a shitty trade for as long as that takes.

Bringing us to our social trigger. Someone posts a Trump tweet. Apparently these are important. I've not noticed. I am in trading positions most of the time he tweets, usually a few days later I find out that was "why it happened". The thought of using this for real time indicators to follow is madness to me, now. There's a time I'd have thought that perfectly logical. When you do the charting hours, it does not make sense. So should be ignored.


https://preview.redd.it/fy503xs3kqi31.png?width=506&format=png&auto=webp&s=6c4ffa3db2d85fd672e4665185636202e3de7dfe

Maybe not entirely ignored. When I seen this, I went and checked for counter trading signals on USDJPY. Seen one instantly (social indicators are fucking accurate, I'm being serious).
This was the position I took. I also suggested the poster stopped following this bullshit.

https://preview.redd.it/kjzszt9ylqi31.png?width=689&format=png&auto=webp&s=5cda228fd244b558cfe3efaecb171bb7cbfaa8bf
Source: https://www.reddit.com/Forex/comments/cvdjzv/will_the_usdjpy_breakout/ey3xr6y/?context=3

I explained the mistake.
https://preview.redd.it/qbl9mbdamqi31.png?width=567&format=png&auto=webp&s=e346d013d4c4919ae709f6be22d476917194fcb7
Source: https://www.reddit.com/Forex/comments/cvdjzv/will_the_usdjpy_breakout/ey43knb/?context=3

Here is what that looks like on a chart. Blue circle is where the breakout alert comes, green circle is where I bought.

https://preview.redd.it/uc33jx6roqi31.png?width=810&format=png&auto=webp&s=7df939a336ef903f67628fc9a410cf452c84a356
We can see this is probably not something we want to be basing our trading decision on. Quite evidently.
After taking my position, I took some time to explain the situation to someone who commented saying they'd bailed out on a sell after reading through my posts (good things happen when you read my posts with an open mind). Price spiked 100 pips from the price they escaped on.

https://preview.redd.it/9gwu2mfdpqi31.png?width=738&format=png&auto=webp&s=23e5a1a7fdd0d076e38f1d6318845848041cf1f0

https://preview.redd.it/99vbci1gpqi31.png?width=688&format=png&auto=webp&s=2bba455a946f836fe94e4f82b08f2481e4edcb02

So our strategy to trade from here is simple. We buy into the sharp drops on USDJPY. We watch for short term drops and mini false breakouts - then we buy for the "swish" up move. The same strategy I said could be used on GBPUSD early last week, you know ... before the news made it happen.

We do have to be cautious, price can re-test the lows (and it can do it in one big fast candle). It can even make a further breakout (which could be stronger). For as long as USDJPY trades above the lows it's made in the start of the week, though we should see all drops in price as opportunities to buy with great risk:reward.
With this in mind, I've activated my trend traders on USDJPY, they should start to sell the false sell offs for me, and be putting me in nicely near the end of the bear traps. We might be on the way to seller mistake #2. Where the break/retest trade fails, and if we this should be very profitable betting against those who get slaughtered in the quick correction.

Update:
This has done really well, as would be expected. This really is a deadly part of the market for trend followers.

https://preview.redd.it/yi8qqdjq7ri31.png?width=817&format=png&auto=webp&s=eeb5ade882dfc3a7ff1d17bfbd432f994be7065d
submitted by whatthefx to Forex [link] [comments]

Finding Trading Edges: Where to Get High R:R trades and Profit Potential of Them.

Finding Trading Edges: Where to Get High R:R trades and Profit Potential of Them.
TL;DR - I will try and flip an account from $50 or less to $1,000 over 2019. I will post all my account details so my strategy can be seen/copied. I will do this using only three or four trading setups. All of which are simple enough to learn. I will start trading on 10th January.
----
As I see it there are two mains ways to understand how to make money in the markets. The first is to know what the biggest winners in the markets are doing and duplicating what they do. This is hard. Most of the biggest players will not publicly tell people what they are doing. You need to be able to kinda slide in with them and see if you can pick up some info. Not suitable for most people, takes a lot of networking and even then you have to be able to make the correct inferences.
Another way is to know the most common trades of losing traders and then be on the other side of their common mistakes. This is usually far easier, usually everyone knows the mind of a losing trader. I learned about what losing traders do every day by being one of them for many years. I noticed I had an some sort of affinity for buying at the very top of moves and selling at the very bottom. This sucked, however, is was obvious there was winning trades on the other side of what I was doing and the adjustments to be a good trader were small (albeit, tricky).
Thus began the study for entries and maximum risk:reward. See, there have been times I have bought aiming for a 10 pip scalps and hit 100 pips stops loss. Hell, there have been times I was going for 5 pips and hit 100 stop out. This can seem discouraging, but it does mean there must be 1:10 risk:reward pay-off on the other side of these mistakes, and they were mistakes.
If you repeatedly enter and exit at the wrong times, you are making mistakes and probably the same ones over and over again. The market is tricking you! There are specific ways in which price moves that compel people to make these mistakes (I won’t go into this in this post, because it takes too long and this is going to be a long post anyway, but a lot of this is FOMO).
Making mistakes is okay. In fact, as I see it, making mistakes is an essential part of becoming an expert. Making a mistake enough times to understand intrinsically why it is a mistake and then make the required adjustments. Understanding at a deep level why you trade the way you do and why others make the mistakes they do, is an important part of becoming an expert in your chosen area of focus.
I could talk more on these concepts, but to keep the length of the post down, I will crack on to actual examples of trades I look for. Here are my three main criteria. I am looking for tops/bottoms of moves (edge entries). I am looking for 1:3 RR or more potential pay-offs. My strategy assumes that retail trades will lose most of the time. This seems a fair enough assumption. Without meaning to sound too crass about it, smart money will beat dumb money most of the time if the game is base on money. They just will.
So to summarize, I am looking for the points newbies get trapped in bad positions entering into moves too late. From these areas, I am looking for high RR entries.
Setup Examples.
I call this one the “Lightning Bolt correction”, but it is most commonly referred to as a “two leg correction”. I call it a “Lightning Bolt correction” because it looks a bit like one, and it zaps you. If you get it wrong.

https://preview.redd.it/t4whwijse2721.png?width=1326&format=png&auto=webp&s=c9050529c6e2472a3ff9f8e7137bd4a3ee5554cc
Once I see price making the first sell-off move and then begin to rally towards the highs again, I am waiting for a washout spike low. The common trades mistakes I am trading against here is them being too eager to buy into the trend too early and for the to get stopped out/reverse position when it looks like it is making another bearish breakout. Right at that point they panic … literally one candle under there is where I want to be getting in. I want to be buying their stop loss, essentially. “Oh, you don’t want that ...okay, I will have that!”
I need a precise entry. I want to use tiny stops (for big RR) so I need to be cute with entries. For this, I need entry rules. Not just arbitrarily buying the spike out. There are a few moving parts to this that are outside the scope of this post but one of my mains ways is using a fibs extension and looking for reversals just after the 1.61% level. How to draw the fibs is something else that is outside the scope of this but for one simple rule, they can be drawn on the failed new high leg.

https://preview.redd.it/2cd682kve2721.png?width=536&format=png&auto=webp&s=f4d081c9faff49d0976f9ffab260aaed2b570309
I am looking for a few specific things for a prime setup. Firstly, I am looking for the false hope candles, the ones that look like they will reverse the market and let those buying too early get out break-even or even at profit. In this case, you can see the hammer and engulfing candle off the 127 level, then it spikes low in that “stop-hunt” sort of style.
Secondly I want to see it trading just past my entry level (161 ext). This rule has come from nothing other than sheer volume. The amount of times I’ve been stopped out by 1 pip by that little sly final low has gave birth to this rule. I am looking for the market to trade under support in a manner that looks like a new strong breakout. When I see this, I am looking to get in with tiny stops, right under the lows. I will also be using smaller charts at this time and looking for reversal clusters of candles. Things like dojis, inverted hammers etc. These are great for sticking stops under.
Important note, when the lightning bolt correction fails to be a good entry, I expect to see another two legs down. I may look to sell into this area sometimes, and also be looking for buying on another couple legs down. It is important to note, though, when this does not work out, I expect there to be continued momentum that is enough to stop out and reasonable stop level for my entry. Which is why I want to cut quick. If a 10 pips stop will hit, usually a 30 pips stop will too. Bin it and look for the next opportunity at better RR.

https://preview.redd.it/mhkgy35ze2721.png?width=1155&format=png&auto=webp&s=a18278b85b10278603e5c9c80eb98df3e6878232
Another setup I am watching for is harmonic patterns, and I am using these as a multi-purpose indicator. When I see potentially harmonic patterns forming, I am using their completion level as take profits, I do not want to try and run though reversal patterns I can see forming hours ahead of time. I also use them for entering (similar rules of looking for specific entry criteria for small stops). Finally, I use them as a continuation pattern. If the harmonic pattern runs past the area it may have reversed from, there is a high probability that the market will continue to trend and very basic trend following strategies work well. I learned this from being too stubborn sticking with what I thought were harmonic reversals only to be ran over by a trend (seriously, everything I know I know from how it used to make me lose).

https://preview.redd.it/1ytz2431f2721.png?width=1322&format=png&auto=webp&s=983a7f2a91f9195004ad8a2aa2bb9d4d6f128937
A method of spotting these sorts of M/W harmonics is they tend to form after a second spike out leg never formed. When this happens, it gives me a really good idea of where my profit targets should be and where my next big breakout level is. It is worth noting, larger harmonics using have small harmonics inside them (on lower time-frames) and this can be used for dialling in optimum entries. I also use harmonics far more extensively in ranging markets. Where they tend to have higher win rates.
Next setup is the good old fashioned double bottoms/double top/one tick trap sort of setup. This comes in when the market is highly over extended. It has a small sell-off and rallies back to the highs before having a much larger sell-off. This is a more risky trade in that it sells into what looks like trending momentum and can be stopped out more. However, it also pays a high RR when it works, allowing for it to be ran at reduced risk and still be highly profitable when it comes through.

https://preview.redd.it/1bx83776f2721.png?width=587&format=png&auto=webp&s=2c76c3085598ae70f4142d26c46c8d6e9b1c2881
From these sorts of moves, I am always looking for a follow up buy if it forms a lightning bolt sort of setup.
All of these setups always offer 1:3 or better RR. If they do not, you are doing it wrong (and it will be your stop placement that is wrong). This is not to say the target is always 1:3+, sometimes it is best to lock in profits with training stops. It just means that every time you enter, you can potentially have a trade that runs for many times more than you risked. 1:10 RR can be hit in these sorts of setups sometimes. Paying you 20% for 2% risked.
I want to really stress here that what I am doing is trading against small traders mistakes. I am not trying to “beat the market maker”. I am not trying to reverse engineer J.P Morgan’s black boxes. I do not think I am smart enough to gain a worthwhile edge over these traders. They have more money, they have more data, they have better softwares … they are stronger. Me trying to “beat the market maker” is like me trying to beat up Mike Tyson. I might be able to kick him in the balls and feel smug for a few seconds. However, when he gets up, he is still Tyson and I am still me. I am still going to be pummeled.
I’ve seen some people that were fairly bright people going into training courses and coming out dumb as shit. Thinking they somehow are now going to dominate Goldman Sachs because they learned a chart pattern. Get a grip. For real, get a fucking grip. These buzz phrases are marketeering. Realististically, if you want to win in the markets, you need to have an edge over somebody.
I don’t have edges on the banks. If I could find one, they’d take it away from me. Edges work on inefficiencies in what others do that you can spot and they can not. I do not expect to out-think a banks analysis team. I know for damn sure I can out-think a version of me from 5 years ago … and I know there are enough of them in the markets. I look to trade against them. I just look to protect myself from the larger players so they can only hurt me in limited ways. Rather than letting them corner me and beat me to a pulp (in the form of me watching $1,000 drop off my equity because I moved a stop or something), I just let them kick me in the butt as I run away. It hurts a little, but I will be over it soon.
I believe using these principles, these three simple enough edge entry setups, selectiveness (remembering you are trading against the areas people make mistakes, wait for they areas) and measured aggression a person can make impressive compounded gains over a year. I will attempt to demonstrate this by taking an account of under $100 to over $1,000 in a year. I will use max 10% on risk on a position, the risk will scale down as the account size increases. In most cases, 5% risk per trade will be used, so I will be going for 10-20% or so profits. I will be looking only for prime opportunities, so few trades but hard hitting ones when I take them.
I will start trading around the 10th January. Set remind me if you want to follow along. I will also post my investor login details, so you can see the trades in my account in real time. Letting you see when I place my orders and how I manage running positions.
I also think these same principles can be tweaked in such a way it is possible to flip $50 or so into $1,000 in under a month. I’ve done $10 to $1,000 in three days before. This is far more complex in trade management, though. Making it hard to explain/understand and un-viable for many people to copy (it hedges, does not comply with FIFO, needs 1:500 leverage and also needs spreads under half a pip on EURUSD - not everyone can access all they things). I see all too often people act as if this can’t be done and everyone saying it is lying to sell you something. I do not sell signals. I do not sell training. I have no dog in this fight, I am just saying it can be done. There are people who do it. If you dismiss it as impossible; you will never be one of them.
If I try this 10 times with $50, I probably am more likely to make $1,000 ($500 profit) in a couple months than standard ideas would double $500 - I think I have better RR, even though I may go bust 5 or more times. I may also try to demonstrate this, but it is kinda just show-boating, quite honestly. When it works, it looks cool. When it does not, I can go bust in a single day (see example https://www.fxblue.com/users/redditmicroflip).
So I may or may not try and demonstrate this. All this is, is just taking good basic concepts and applying accelerated risk tactics to them and hitting a winning streak (of far less trades than you may think). Once you have good entries and RR optimization in place - there really is no reason why you can not scale these up to do what may people call impossible (without even trying it).
I know there are a lot of people who do not think these things are possible and tend to just troll whenever people talk about these things. There used to be a time when I’d try to explain why I thought the way I did … before I noticed they only cared about telling me why they were right and discussion was pointless. Therefore, when it comes to replies, I will reply to all comments that ask me a question regarding why I think this can be done, or why I done something that I done. If you are commenting just to tell me all the reasons you think I am wrong and you are right, I will probably not reply. I may well consider your points if they are good ones. I just do not entering into discussions with people who already know everything; it serves no purpose.

Edit: Addition.

I want to talk a bit more about using higher percentage of risk than usual. Firstly, let me say that there are good reasons for risk caps that people often cite as “musts”. There are reasons why 2% is considered optimum for a lot of strategies and there are reasons drawing down too much is a really bad thing.
Please do not be ignorant of this. Please do not assume I am, either. In previous work I done, I was selecting trading strategies that could be used for investment. When doing this, my only concern was drawdown metrics. These are essential for professional money management and they are also essential for personal long-term success in trading.
So please do not think I have not thought of these sorts of things Many of the reasons people say these things can’t work are basic 101 stuff anyone even remotely committed to learning about trading learns in their first 6 months. Trust me, I have thought about these concepts. I just never stopped thinking when I found out what public consensus was.
While these 101 rules make a lot of sense, it does not take away from the fact there are other betting strategies, and if you can know the approximate win rate and pay-off of trades, you can have other ways of deriving optimal bet sizes (risk per trade). Using Kelly Criterion, for example, if the pay-off is 1:3 and there is a 75% chance of winning, the optimal bet size is 62.5%. It would be a viable (high risk) strategy to have extremely filtered conditions that looked for just one perfect set up a month, makingover 150% if it was successful.
Let’s do some math on if you can pull that off three months in a row (using 150% gain, for easy math). Start $100. Month two starts $250. Month three $625. Month three ends $1,562. You have won three trades. Can you win three trades in a row under these conditions? I don’t know … but don’t assume no-one can.
This is extremely high risk, let’s scale it down to meet somewhere in the middle of the extremes. Let’s look at 10%. Same thing, 10% risk looking for ideal opportunities. Maybe trading once every week or so. 30% pay-off is you win. Let’s be realistic here, a lot of strategies can drawdown 10% using low risk without actually having had that good a chance to generate 30% gains in the trades it took to do so. It could be argued that trading seldomly but taking 5* the risk your “supposed” to take can be more risk efficient than many strategies people are using.
I am not saying that you should be doing these things with tens of thousands of dollars. I am not saying you should do these things as long term strategies. What I am saying is do not dismiss things out of hand just because they buck the “common knowns”. There are ways you can use more aggressive trading tactics to turn small sums of money into they $1,000s of dollars accounts that you exercise they stringent money management tactics on.
With all the above being said, you do have to actually understand to what extent you have an edge doing what you are doing. To do this, you should be using standard sorts of risks. Get the basics in place, just do not think you have to always be basic. Once you have good basics in place and actually make a bit of money, you can section off profits for higher risk versions of strategies. The basic concepts of money management are golden. For longevity and large funds; learned them and use them! Just don’t forget to think for yourself once you have done that.

Update -

Okay, I have thought this through a bit more and decided I don't want to post my live account investor login, because it has my full name and I do not know who any of you are. Instead, for copying/observing, I will give demo account login (since I can choose any name for a demo).
I will also copy onto a live account and have that tracked via Myfxbook.
I will do two versions. One will be FIFO compliant. It will trade only single trade positions. The other will not be FIFO compliant, it will open trades in batches. I will link up live account in a week or so. For now, if anyone wants to do BETA testing with the copy trader, you can do so with the following details (this is the non-FIFO compliant version).

Account tracking/copying details.

Low-Medium risk.
IC Markets MT4
Account number: 10307003
Investor PW: lGdMaRe6
Server: Demo:01
(Not FIFO compliant)

Valid and Invalid Complaints.
There are a few things that can pop up in copy trading. I am not a n00b when it comes to this, so I can somewhat forecast what these will be. I can kinda predict what sort of comments there may be. Some of these are valid points that if you raise I should (and will) reply to. Some are things outside of the scope of things I can influence, and as such, there is no point in me replying to. I will just cover them all here the one time.

Valid complains are if I do something dumb or dramatically outside of the strategy I have laid out here. won't do these, if I do, you can pitchfork ----E

Examples;

“Oi, idiot! You opened a trade randomly on a news spike. I got slipped 20 pips and it was a shit entry”.
Perfectly valid complaint.

“Why did you open a trade during swaps hours when the spread was 30 pips?”
Also valid.

“You left huge trades open running into the weekend and now I have serious gap paranoia!”
Definitely valid.

These are examples of me doing dumb stuff. If I do dumb stuff, it is fair enough people say things amounting to “Yo, that was dumb stuff”.

Invalid Complains;

“You bought EURUSD when it was clearly a sell!!!!”
Okay … you sell. No-one is asking you to copy my trades. I am not trading your strategy. Different positions make a market.

“You opened a position too big and I lost X%”.
No. Na uh. You copied a position too big. If you are using a trade copier, you can set maximum risk. If you neglect to do this, you are taking 100% risk. You have no valid compliant for losing. The act of copying and setting the risk settings is you selecting your risk. I am not responsible for your risk. I accept absolutely no liability for any losses.
*Suggested fix. Refer to risk control in copy trading software

“You lost X trades in a row at X% so I lost too much”.
Nope. You copied. See above. Anything relating to losing too much in trades (placed in liquid/standard market conditions) is entirely you. I can lose my money. Only you can set it up so you can lose yours. I do not have access to your account. Only mine.
*Suggested fix. Refer to risk control in copy trading software

“Price keeps trading close to the pending limit orders but not filling. Your account shows profits, but mine is not getting them”.
This is brokerage. I have no control over this. I use a strategy that aims for precision, and that means a pip here and there in brokerage spreads can make a difference. I am trading to profit from my trading conditions. I do not know, so can not account for, yours.
* Suggested fix. Compare the spread on your broker with the spread on mine. Adjust your orders accordingly. Buy limit orders will need to move up a little. Sell limit orders should not need adjusted.

“I got stopped out right before the market turned, I have a loss but your account shows a profit”.
This is brokerage. I have no control over this. I use a strategy that aims for precision, and that means a pip here and there differences in brokerage spreads can make a difference. I am trading to profit from my trading conditions. I do not know, so can not account for, yours.
** Suggested fix. Compare the spread on your broker with the spread on mine. Adjust your orders accordingly. Stop losses on sell orders will need to move up a bit. Stops on buy orders will be fine.

“Your trade got stopped out right before the market turned, if it was one more pip in the stop, it would have been a winner!!!”
Yeah. This happens. This is where the “risk” part of “risk:reward” comes in.

“Price traded close to take profit, yours filled but mines never”.
This is brokerage. I have no control over this. I use a strategy that aims for precision, and that means a pip here and there differences in brokerage spreads can make a difference. I am trading to profit from my trading conditions. I do not know, so can not account for, yours.
(Side note, this should not be an issue since when my trade closes, it should ping your account to close, too. You might get a couple less pips).
*** Suggested fix. Compare the spread on your broker with the spread on mine. Adjust your orders accordingly. Take profits on buys will need to move up a bit. Sell take profits will be fine.

“My brokers spread jumped to 20 during the New York session so the open trade made a bigger loss than it should”.
Your broker might just suck if this happens. This is brokerage. I have no control over this. My trades are placed to profit from my brokerage conditions. I do not know, so can not account for yours. Also, if accounting for random spread spikes like this was something I had to do, this strategy would not be a thing. It only works with fair brokerage conditions.
*Suggested fix. Do a bit of Googling and find out if you have a horrific broker. If so, fix that! A good search phrase is; “(Broker name) FPA reviews”.

“Price hit the stop loss but was going really fast and my stop got slipped X pips”.
This is brokerage. I have no control over this. I use a strategy that aims for precision, and that means a pip here and there differences in brokerage spreads can make a difference. I am trading to profit from my trading conditions. I do not know, so can not account for, yours.
If my trade also got slipped on the stop, I was slipped using ECN conditions with excellent execution; sometimes slips just happen. I am doing the most I can to prevent them, but it is a fact of liquidity that sometimes we get slipped (slippage can also work in our favor, paying us more than the take profit would have been).

“Orders you placed failed to execute on my account because they were too large”.
This is brokerage. I have no control over this. Margin requirements vary. I have 1:500 leverage available. I will not always be using it, but I can. If you can’t, this will make a difference.

“Your account is making profits trading things my broker does not have”
I have a full range of assets to trade with the broker I use. Included Forex, indices, commodities and cryptocurrencies. I may or may not use the extent of these options. I can not account for your brokerage conditions.

I think I have covered most of the common ones here. There are some general rules of thumb, though. Basically, if I do something that is dumb and would have a high probability of losing on any broker traded on, this is a valid complain.

Anything that pertains to risk taken in standard trading conditions is under your control.

Also, anything at all that pertains to brokerage variance there is nothing I can do, other than fully brief you on what to expect up-front. Since I am taking the time to do this, I won’t be a punchbag for anything that happens later pertaining to this.

I am not using an elitist broker. You don’t need $50,000 to open an account, it is only $200. It is accessible to most people - brokerage conditions akin to what I am using are absolutely available to anyone in the UK/Europe/Asia (North America, I am not so up on, so can’t say). With the broker I use, and with others. If you do not take the time to make sure you are trading with a good broker, there is nothing I can do about how that affects your trades.

I am using an A book broker, if you are using B book; it will almost certainly be worse results. You have bad costs. You are essentially buying from reseller and paying a mark-up. (A/B book AKA ECN/Market maker; learn about this here). My EURUSD spread will typically be 0.02 pips or so, if yours is 1 pip, this is a huge difference.
These are typical spreads I am working on.

https://preview.redd.it/yc2c4jfpab721.png?width=597&format=png&auto=webp&s=c377686b2485e13171318c9861f42faf325437e1


Check the full range of spreads on Forex, commodities, indices and crypto.

Please understand I want nothing from you if you benefit from this, but I am also due you nothing if you lose. My only term of offering this is that people do not moan at me if they lose money.

I have been fully upfront saying this is geared towards higher risk. I have provided information and tools for you to take control over this. If I do lose people’s money and I know that, I honestly will feel a bit sad about it. However, if you complain about it, all I will say is “I told you that might happen”, because, I am telling you that might happen.

Make clear headed assessments of how much money you can afford to risk, and use these when making your decisions. They are yours to make, and not my responsibility.

Update.

Crazy Kelly Compounding: $100 - $11,000 in 6 Trades.

$100 to $11,000 in 6 trades? Is it a scam? Is it a gamble? … No, it’s maths.

Common sense risk disclaimer: Don’t be a dick! Don’t risk money you can’t afford to lose. Do not risk money doing these things until you can show a regular profit on low risk.
Let’s talk about Crazy Kelly Compounding (CKC). Kelly criterion is a method for selecting optimal bet sizes if the odds and win rate are known (in other words, once you have worked out how to create and assess your edge). You can Google to learn about it in detail. The formula for Kelly criterion is;
((odds-1) * (percentage estimate)) - (1-percent estimate) / (odds-1) X 100
Now let’s say you can filter down a strategy to have a 80% win rate. It trades very rarely, but it had a very high success rate when it does. Let’s say you get 1:2 RR on that trade. Kelly would give you an optimum bet size of about 60% here. So if you win, you win 120%. Losing three trades in a row will bust you. You can still recover from anything less than that, fairly easily with a couple winning trades.
This is where CKC comes in. What if you could string some of these wins together, compounding the gains (so you were risking 60% each time)? What if you could pull off 6 trades in a row doing this?
Here is the math;

https://preview.redd.it/u3u6teqd7c721.png?width=606&format=png&auto=webp&s=3b958747b37b68ec2a769a8368b5cbebfe0e97ff
This shows years, substitute years for trades. 6 trades returns $11,338! This can be done. The question really is if you are able to dial in good enough entries, filter out enough sub-par trades and have the guts to pull the trigger when the time is right. Obviously you need to be willing to take the hit, obviously that hit gets bigger each time you go for it, but the reward to risk ratio is pretty decent if you can afford to lose the money.
We could maybe set something up to do this on cent brokers. So people can do it literally risking a couple dollars. I’d have to check to see if there was suitable spreads etc offered on them, though. They can be kinda icky.
Now listen, I am serious … don’t be a dick. Don’t rush out next week trying to retire by the weekend. What I am showing you is the EXTRA rewards that come with being able to produce good solid results and being able to section off some money for high risk “all or nothing” attempts; using your proven strategies.
I am not saying anyone can open 6 trades and make $11,000 … that is rather improbable. What I am saying is once you can get the strategy side right, and you can know your numbers; then you can use the numbers to see where the limits actually are, how fast your strategy can really go.
This CKC concept is not intended to inspire you to be reckless in trading, it is intended to inspire you to put focus on learning the core skills I am telling you that are behind being able to do this.
submitted by inweedwetrust to Forex [link] [comments]

Best markets for evening trading in the UK

Hi all,
I’m just start to learn about day trading, following a few YouTube courses and reading as much as I can, probably for a month or two before taking the leap.
A few things I’ve read so far suggest the optimum trading time is the window of a few hours just as a market opens, but the only time I have to trade are UK evenings.
Are there any markets well suited to this time slot for beginners? Or should I maybe even just look to get started with Forex instead?
Thanks in advance for any answers!
submitted by kiesh91 to Daytrading [link] [comments]

Forex Signals

Forex Signals
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submitted by forex-pips-signal to u/forex-pips-signal [link] [comments]

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submitted by stroke_bot to nullthworldproblems [link] [comments]

Baby's First (Canadian) Credit Card

I am a recent immigrant from the US, and it’s time to stop relying on my forex-free card. (Though they will pry my Sapphire out of my cold, dead hands.)
What is my go-to first credit card? Some PC Optimum card? Seems like that’s my biggest budget item after rent.
submitted by eutectic to PersonalFinanceCanada [link] [comments]

Best Foreign Currency Exchange in the Belgaum-Orient Exchnage

Best Currency Exchange in Belgaum
Serving the community with the best rates in Foreign Currency Exchange for years on end, Orient Exchange has brought similar ease and security to its online platform. People all over India have flocked to solve their money exchange requirements and have successfully done so with unmatched service and hand-holding during instrumental transactions. The secret to being revealed off in the first part is that they are beyond customer-centric, they are clear-headed and hyper-focused in their tailored services, improving the customer experience every day.
Beyond currency exchange rates
As an industry leader, we can't ever proclaim that there's ever a thing that's instrumental in foreign currency exchange as much as rates. It is to be agreed by all that customer centricity is the future, especially to new customer-facing organisations entering modern platforms like online to tweak their whole business model in order to serve the changing market scenario and unprecedented growth in tech to secure transactions with bleeding edge SSL securities.
The key factor in Orient Exchange's ability to give the best rates to its customers is the well-thought-out business model of foreign currency import through strong relationship and business ties with foreign countries, especially ones like UAE and Hong Kong. Flaunting their cash-flow, mainly due to their ability to pull an international crowd for the booming tourism sector, the nations have been really kind and helpful in our domestic operations to provide foreign currency exchange.
Tailored services in Foreign currency exchange
Outward Remittance is a stellar service, where our customers make use of it to send money to their loved ones studying or travelling abroad and are in immediate need of cash. Whilst people flock generally to get their kids and friends the emergency cash requirement satisfied in a binge so that they don't get stuck in the middle of a hard situation, we are proud in successfully handling countless Outward Remittance transactions over the years and promise to continue to do so in the coming years as a Category II, RBI authorised money changers near you.
Forex cards are another speciality by Orient Exchange
As we mentioned earlier regarding the hyper-focus of services, Forex Cards are the first in the line of them. Targeted at the most travelling customers, be it for professional requirements or just casual travellers who are keen to spend too much time on trips, who are more likely to spend foreign currency and do need a sophisticated travel card. Forex cards are akin to shopping cards with added benefits of spending on offshore purchases.
The best currency exchange platform in India
With perks like RBI authorisation, Orient Exchange has an ethos to maintain by being compliant to various governing bodies and keeping your transaction completely on the books to ensure legal and transparent proceedings. More than anything in the world of foreign currency exchange, they are known for their best rates and their strong ties with foreign nations with an onslaught of tourism, opening doors for the customers to explore the world of tourism and spend their precious money in the right spot with best rewards and optimum security.
Check the latest rates here and the keep yourself updated in the Foreign Currency Exchange so that your transactions are well informed and timed to reap you the best options.
submitted by sudeepkurup to u/sudeepkurup [link] [comments]

Best Foreign Currency Exchange In Delhi- Orient Exchange

Best Currency Exchange in Delhi
Serving the community with the best rates in Foreign Currency Exchange for years on end, Orient Exchange has brought similar ease and security to its online platform. People all over India have flocked to solve their money exchange requirements and have successfully done so with unmatched service and hand-holding during instrumental transactions. The secret to being revealed off in the first part is that they are beyond customer-centric, they are clear-headed and hyper-focused in their tailored services, improving the customer experience every day.
Beyond currency exchange rates
As an industry leader, we can't ever proclaim that there's ever a thing that's instrumental in foreign currency exchange as much as rates. It is to be agreed by all that customer centricity is the future, especially to new customer-facing organisations entering modern platforms like online to tweak their whole business model in order to serve the changing market scenario and unprecedented growth in tech to secure transactions with bleeding edge SSL securities.
The key factor in Orient Exchange's ability to give the best rates to its customers is the well-thought-out business model of foreign currency import through strong relationship and business ties with foreign countries, especially ones like UAE and Hong Kong. Flaunting their cash-flow, mainly due to their ability to pull an international crowd for the booming tourism sector, the nations have been really kind and helpful in our domestic operations to provide foreign currency exchange.
Tailored services in Foreign currency exchange
Outward Remittance is a stellar service, where our customers make use of it to send money to their loved ones studying or travelling abroad and are in immediate need of cash. Whilst people flock generally to get their kids and friends the emergency cash requirement satisfied in a binge so that they don't get stuck in the middle of a hard situation, we are proud in successfully handling countless Outward Remittance transactions over the years and promise to continue to do so in the coming years as a Category II, RBI authorised money changers near you.
Forex cards are another speciality by Orient Exchange
As we mentioned earlier regarding the hyper-focus of services, Forex Cards are the first in the line of them. Targeted at the most travelling customers, be it for professional requirements or just casual travellers who are keen to spend too much time on trips, who are more likely to spend foreign currency and do need a sophisticated travel card. Forex cards are akin to shopping cards with added benefits of spending on offshore purchases.
The best currency exchange platform in India
With perks like RBI authorisation, Orient Exchange has an ethos to maintain by being compliant to various governing bodies and keeping your transaction completely on the books to ensure legal and transparent proceedings. More than anything in the world of foreign currency exchange, they are known for their best rates and their strong ties with foreign nations with an onslaught of tourism, opening doors for the customers to explore the world of tourism and spend their precious money in the right spot with best rewards and optimum security.
Check the latest rates here and the keep yourself updated in the Foreign Currency Exchange so that your transactions are well informed and timed to reap you the best options.
submitted by sudeepkurup to u/sudeepkurup [link] [comments]

Forex cards in Pune-Orient Exchange.

Best Currency Exchange in Pune.
Serving the community with the best rates in Foreign Currency Exchange for years on end, Orient Exchange has brought similar ease and security to its online platform. People all over India have flocked to solve their money exchange requirements and have successfully done so with unmatched service and hand-holding during instrumental transactions. The secret to being revealed off in the first part is that they are beyond customer-centric, they are clear-headed and hyper-focused in their tailored services, improving the customer experience every day.
Beyond currency exchange rates
As an industry leader, we can't ever proclaim that there's ever a thing that's instrumental in foreign currency exchange as much as rates. It is to be agreed by all that customer centricity is the future, especially to new customer-facing organisations entering modern platforms like online to tweak their whole business model in order to serve the changing market scenario and unprecedented growth in tech to secure transactions with bleeding edge SSL securities.
The key factor in Orient Exchange's ability to give the best rates to its customers is the well-thought-out business model of foreign currency import through strong relationship and business ties with foreign countries, especially ones like UAE and Hong Kong. Flaunting their cash-flow, mainly due to their ability to pull an international crowd for the booming tourism sector, the nations have been really kind and helpful in our domestic operations to provide foreign currency exchange.
Tailored services in Foreign currency exchange
Outward Remittance is a stellar service, where our customers make use of it to send money to their loved ones studying or travelling abroad and are in immediate need of cash. Whilst people flock generally to get their kids and friends the emergency cash requirement satisfied in a binge so that they don't get stuck in the middle of a hard situation, we are proud in successfully handling countless Outward Remittance transactions over the years and promise to continue to do so in the coming years as a Category II, RBI authorised money changers near you.
Forex cards are another speciality by Orient Exchange
As we mentioned earlier regarding the hyper-focus of services, Forex Cards are the first in the line of them. Targeted at the most travelling customers, be it for professional requirements or just casual travellers who are keen to spend too much time on trips, who are more likely to spend foreign currency and do need a sophisticated travel card. Forex cards are akin to shopping cards with added benefits of spending on offshore purchases.
The best currency exchange platform in India
With perks like RBI authorisation, Orient Exchange has an ethos to maintain by being compliant to various governing bodies and keeping your transaction completely on the books to ensure legal and transparent proceedings. More than anything in the world of foreign currency exchange, they are known for their best rates and their strong ties with foreign nations with an onslaught of tourism, opening doors for the customers to explore the world of tourism and spend their precious money in the right spot with best rewards and optimum security.
Check the latest rates here and the keep yourself updated in the Foreign Currency Exchange so that your transactions are well informed and timed to reap you the best options.
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Best Foreign currency Exchange Rates in Belgaum- Buy forex Cards Online

Serving the community with the best rates in Foreign Currency Exchange for years on end, Orient Exchange has brought similar ease and security to its online platform. People all over India have flocked to solve their money exchange requirements and have successfully done so with unmatched service and hand-holding during instrumental transactions. The secret to being revealed off in the first part is that they are beyond customer-centric, they are clear-headed and hyper-focused in their tailored services, improving the customer experience every day.
Beyond currency exchange rates
As an industry leader, we can't ever proclaim that there's ever a thing that's instrumental in foreign currency exchange as much as rates. It is to be agreed by all that customer centricity is the future, especially to new customer-facing organisations entering modern platforms like online to tweak their whole business model in order to serve the changing market scenario and unprecedented growth in tech to secure transactions with bleeding edge SSL securities.
The key factor in Orient Exchange's ability to give the best rates to its customers is the well-thought-out business model of foreign currency import through strong relationship and business ties with foreign countries, especially ones like UAE and HongKong. Flaunting their cash-flow, mainly due to their ability to pull an international crowd for the booming tourism sector, the nations have been really kind and helpful in our domestic operations to provide foreign currency exchange.
Tailored services in Foreign currency exchange
Outward Remittance is a stellar service, where our customers make use of it to send money to their loved ones studying or travelling abroad and are in immediate need of cash. Whilst people flock generally to get their kids and friends the emergency cash requirement satisfied in a binge so that they don't get stuck in the middle of a hard situation, we are proud in successfully handling countless Outward Remittance transactions over the years and promise to continue to do so in the coming years as a Category II, RBI authorised money changers near you.
Forex cards are another speciality by Orient Exchange
As we mentioned earlier regarding the hyper-focus of services, Forex Cards is the first in a line of them. Targeted at the most travelling customers, be it for professional requirements or just casual travellers who are keen to spend too much time on trips, who are more likely to spend foreign currency and do need a sophisticated travel card. Forex cards are akin to shopping cards with added benefits of spending on offshore purchases.
The best currency exchange platform in India
With perks like RBI authorisation, Orient Exchange has an ethos to maintain by being compliant to various governing bodies and keeping your transaction completely on the books to ensure legal and transparent proceedings. More than anything in the world of foreign currency exchange, they are known for their best rates and their strong ties with foreign nations with an onslaught of tourism, opening doors for the customers to explore the world of tourism and spend their precious money in the right spot with best rewards and optimum security.
Check the latest rates here and the keep yourself updated in the Foreign Currency Exchange, so that your transactions are well informed and timed to reap you the best options.
submitted by sudeepkurup to u/sudeepkurup [link] [comments]

stock marketing full guide 2019

stock marketing full guide 2019
stock market

What's the Stock Market? full guide.

The inventory market refers back to the assortment of markets and exchanges the place common actions of shopping for, promoting, and issuance of shares of publicly-held firms happen. Such monetary actions are performed by way of institutionalized formal exchanges or over-the-counter (OTC) marketplaces which function underneath an outlined set of laws. There may be a number of inventory buying and selling venues in a rustic or an area which permit transactions in shares and different types of securities.
Whereas each phrase - inventory market and inventory alternate - are used interchangeably, the latter time period is usually a subset of the previous. If one says that she trades within the inventory market, it implies that she buys and sells shares/equities on one (or extra) of the inventory alternate(s) which are a part of the general inventory market. The main inventory exchanges within the U.S. embrace the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), Nasdaq, the Higher Different Buying and selling System (BATS). and the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE). These main nationwide exchanges, together with a number of different exchanges working within the nation, type the inventory market of the U.S.
Although it's known as an inventory market or fairness market and is primarily identified for buying and selling shares/equities, different monetary securities - like exchange-traded funds (ETF), corporate bonds and derivatives primarily based on shares, commodities, currencies, and bonds - are additionally traded within the inventory markets.

Read also.

Inventory Market

Understanding the Inventory Market

Whereas right this moment it's potential to buy nearly every part online, there's often a delegated marketplace for each commodity. For example, folks drive to metropolis outskirts and farmlands to buy Christmas bushes, go to the native timber market to purchase wooden and different obligatory materials for house furnishings and renovations, and go to shops like Walmart for his or her common grocery provides.
Such devoted markets function a platform the place quite a few patrons and sellers meet, work together and transact. For the reason that a variety of market individuals is large, one is assured of good worth. For instance, if there is just one vendor of Christmas bushes in your complete metropolis, he could have the freedom to cost any worth he pleases because the patrons gained’t have wherever else to go. If the variety of tree sellers is massive in a standard market, they must compete in opposition to one another to draw patrons. The patrons can be spoiled for selection with low- or optimum-pricing making it a good market with worth transparency. Even whereas buying online, patrons examine costs supplied by totally different sellers on the identical buying portal or throughout totally different portals to get one of the best offers, forcing the assorted online sellers to supply one of the best worth.
An inventory market is an identical designated marketplace for buying and selling numerous sorts of securities in a managed, safe and managed the atmosphere. For the reason that inventory market brings collectively a whole bunch of hundreds of market individuals who want to purchase and promote shares, it ensures honest pricing practices and transparency in transactions. Whereas earlier inventory markets used to situation and deal in paper-based bodily share certificates, the fashionable day computer-aided inventory markets function electronically.

How the Inventory Market Works

In a nutshell, inventory markets present a safe and controlled atmosphere the place market individuals can transact in shares and different eligible monetary devices with confidence with zero- to low-operational danger. Working underneath the outlined guidelines as acknowledged by the regulator, the inventory markets act as primary markets and as secondary markets.
As the main market, the inventory market permits firms to the situation and promote their shares to the wider public for the primary time by way of the method of initial public offerings (IPO). This exercise helps firms increase obligatory capital from traders. It primarily implies that an organization divides itself into quite a few shares (say, 20 million shares) and sells part of these shares (say, 5 million shares) to the wider public at a worth (say, $10 per share).
To facilitate this course of, an organization wants a market the place these shares may be offered. This market is offered by the inventory market. If every part goes as per the plans, the corporate will efficiently promote the 5 million shares at a worth of $10 per share and acquire $50 million value of funds. Traders will get the corporate shares which they will anticipate to carry for his or her most well-liked length, in anticipation of rising in share worth and any potential revenue within the type of dividend funds. The inventory alternate acts as a facilitator for this capital elevating course of and receives a charge for its providers from the corporate and its monetary companions.
Following the first-time share issuance IPO train known as the itemizing course of, the inventory alternate additionally serves because the buying and selling platform that facilitates common shopping for and promoting of the listed shares. This constitutes the secondary market. The inventory alternate earns a charge for each commerce that happens on its platform in the course of the secondary market exercise.
The inventory alternate shoulders the accountability of making certain price transparency, liquidity, price discovery and honest dealings in such buying and selling actions. As nearly all main inventory markets throughout the globe now function electronically, the alternate maintains buying and selling techniques that effectively handle the purchase and promote orders from numerous market individuals. They carry out the worth matching operate to facilitate commerce execution at a worth honest to each patron and sellers.
A listed firm can also supply new, extra shares by way of different choices at a later stage, like by way of rights issue or by way of follow-on offers. They could even buyback or delist their shares. The inventory alternate facilitates such transactions.
The inventory alternate usually creates and maintains numerous market-level and sector-specific indicators, just like the S&P 500 index or Nasdaq 100 index, which give a measure to trace the motion of the general market.
The inventory exchanges additionally preserve all firm information, bulletins, and monetary reporting, which may be often accessed on their official web sites. An inventory alternate additionally helps numerous different corporate-level, transaction-related actions. For example, worthwhile firms might reward traders by paying dividends which often comes from the part of the corporate’s earnings. The alternate maintains all such data and will assist its processing to a sure extent.

Features of an Inventory Market

An inventory market primarily serves the next features:
Truthful Dealing in Securities Transactions: Relying on the usual rules of demand and supply, the inventory alternate wants to make sure that all market individuals have instantaneous entry to information for all purchase and promote orders thereby serving to within the honest and clear pricing of securities. Moreover, it also needs to carry out environment-friendly matching of acceptable purchase and promote orders.
For instance, there could also be three patrons who've positioned orders for purchasing Microsoft shares at $100, $105 and $110, and there could also be 4 sellers who're keen to promote Microsoft shares at $110, $112, $115 and $120. The alternate (by way of their pc operated automated buying and selling techniques) wants to make sure that one of the best purchase and greatest promote are matched, which on this case is at $110 for the given amount of commerce.
Environment-friendly Value Discovery: Inventory markets must assist an environment-friendly mechanism for worth discovery, which refers back to the act of deciding the correct worth of a safety and is often carried out by assessing market provide and demand and different components related to the transactions.
Say, a U.S.-based software program firm is buying and selling at a worth of $100 and has a market capitalization of $5 billion. Information merchandise is available in that the EU regulator has imposed a wonderful of $2 billion on the corporate which primarily implies that 40 % of the corporate’s worth could also be worn out. Whereas the inventory market might have imposed a buying and selling worth vary of $90 and $110 on the corporate’s share worth, it ought to effectively change the permissible buying and selling worth restrict to accommodate for the potential adjustments within the share worth, else shareholders might battle to commerce at a good worth.
Liquidity Upkeep: Whereas getting the variety of patrons and sellers for a specific monetary safety are uncontrolled for the inventory market, it wants to make sure that whosoever is certified and keen to commerce will get instantaneous entry to position orders which ought to get executed on the honest worth.
Safety and Validity of Transactions: Whereas extra individuals are vital for environment-friendly working of a market, the identical market wants to make sure that all individuals are verified and stay compliant with the required guidelines and laws, leaving no room for default by any of the events. Moreover, it ought to make sure that all related entities working out there should additionally adhere to the principles, and work inside the authorized framework given by the regulator.
Help All Eligible Kinds of Contributors: A market is made by quite a lot of individuals, which embrace market makers, traders, merchants, speculators, and hedgers. All these individuals function within the inventory market with totally different roles and features. For example, an investor might purchase shares and maintain them for long run spanning a few years, whereas a dealer might enter and exit a place inside seconds. A market maker gives obligatory liquidity out there, whereas a hedger might prefer to commerce in derivatives for mitigating the danger concerned in investments. The inventory market ought to make sure that all such individuals are capable of function seamlessly fulfilling their desired roles to make sure the market continues to function effectively.
Investor Safety: Together with rich and institutional traders, a really massive variety of small traders are additionally served by the inventory marketplace for their small quantity of investments. These traders might have restricted monetary information, and will not be totally conscious of the pitfalls of investing in shares and different listed devices. The inventory alternate should implement obligatory measures to supply the required safety to such traders to protect them from monetary loss and guarantee buyer belief.
For example, an inventory alternate might categorize shares in numerous segments relying on their danger profiles and permit restricted or no buying and selling by widespread traders in high-risk shares. Derivatives, which have been described by Warren Buffett as monetary weapons of mass destruction, aren't for everybody as one might lose far more than they guess for. Exchanges usually impose restrictions to forestall people with restricted revenue and information from entering into dangerous bets of derivatives.
Balanced Regulation: Listed firms are largely regulated and their dealings are monitored by market regulators, just like the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of the U.S. Moreover, exchanges additionally mandate sure necessities – like, well timed submitting of quarterly monetary stories and instantaneous reporting of any related developments - to make sure all market individuals grow to be conscious of company happenings. Failure to stick to the laws can result in the suspension of buying and selling by the exchanges and different disciplinary measures.

Regulating the Inventory Market

An area monetary regulator or competent financial authority or institute is assigned the duty of regulating the inventory market of a rustic. The Securities and Alternate Fee (SEC) is the regulatory physique charged with overseeing the U.S. inventory markets. The SEC is a federal company that works independently of the federal government and political strain. The mission of the SEC is acknowledged as: "to guard traders, preserve honest, orderly, and environment-friendly markets, and facilitate capital formation."

Inventory Market Contributors

Together with long-term traders and brief time period merchants, there are a lot of several types of gamers related to the inventory market. Everyone has a singular function, however, lots of the roles are intertwined and rely on one another to make the market run successfully.
  • Stockbrokers, also called registered representatives within the U.S., are the licensed professionals who purchase and promote securities on behalf of traders. The brokers act as intermediaries between the inventory exchanges and the traders by shopping for and promoting shares on the traders' behalf. An account with a retail dealer is required to realize entry to the markets.
  • Portfolio managers are professionals who make investments portfolios, or collections of securities, for purchasers. These managers get suggestions from analysts and make the purchase or promote choices for the portfolio. Mutual fund firms, hedge funds, and pension plans use portfolio managers to make choices and set the funding methods for the cash they maintain.
  • Investment bankers characterize firms in numerous capacities, comparable to personal firms that wish to go public through an IPO or firms which are concerned in pending mergers and acquisitions. They care for the itemizing course of in compliance with the regulatory necessities of the inventory market.
  • Custodian and depot service suppliers, that are establishment holding prospects' securities for safekeeping in order to reduce the danger of their theft or loss, additionally function in sync with the alternative to switch shares to/from the respective accounts of transacting events primarily based on buying and selling on the inventory market.
  • Market maker: A market maker is a broker-dealer who facilitates the buying and selling of shares by posting bid and ask costs together with sustaining a listing of shares. He ensures adequate liquidity out there for a specific (set of) share(s), and income from the distinction between the bid and the ask worth he quotes.

How Inventory Exchanges Make Cash

Inventory exchanges function as for-profit institutes and cost a charge for his or her providers. The first supply of revenue for these inventory exchanges are the revenues from the transaction charges which are charged for every commerce carried out on its platform. Moreover, exchanges earn income from the itemizing charge charged to firms in the course of the IPO course of and different follow-on choices.
The alternate additionally earn from promoting market information generated on its platform - like real-time information, historical information, abstract information, and reference information – which is significant for fairness analysis and different makes use of. Many exchanges will even promote know-how merchandise, like a buying and selling terminal and devoted community connection to the alternate, to the events for an acceptable charge.
The alternate might supply privileged providers like high-frequency trading to bigger purchasers like mutual funds and asset management companies (AMC), and earn cash accordingly. There are provisions for regulatory charge and registration charge for various profiles of market individuals, just like the market maker and dealer, which type different sources of revenue for the inventory exchanges.
The alternate additionally make income by licensing their indexes (and their methodology) that are generally used as a benchmark for launching numerous merchandise like mutual funds and ETFs by AMCs.
Many exchanges additionally present programs and certification on numerous monetary matters to trade individuals and earn revenues from such subscriptions.

Competitors for Inventory Markets

Whereas particular person inventory exchanges compete in opposition to one another to get most transaction quantity, they're dealing with menace on two fronts.
Darkish Swimming pools: Dark pools, that are personal exchanges or boards for securities buying and selling and function inside personal teams, are posing a problem to public inventory markets. Although their authorized validity is topic to native laws, they're gaining a reputation as individuals save massive on transaction charges.
Blockchain Ventures: Amid rising reputation of blockchains, many crypto exchanges have emerged. Such exchanges are venues for buying and selling cryptocurrencies and derivatives related to that asset class. Although their reputation stays restricted, they pose a menace to the standard inventory market mannequin by automating a bulk of the work completed by numerous inventory market individuals and by providing zero- to low-cost providers.

Significance of the Inventory Market

The inventory market is among the most significant parts of a free-market economic system.
It permits firms to lift cash by providing inventory shares and company bonds. It lets widespread traders take part within the monetary achievements of the businesses, make income by way of capital gains, and earn cash by way of dividends, though losses are additionally potential. Whereas institutional traders {and professional} cash managers do get pleasure from some privileges owing to their deep pockets, higher information and better danger taking skills, the inventory market makes an attempt to supply a stage taking part in subject to widespread people.
The inventory market works as a platform by way of which financial savings and investments of people are channelized into the productive funding proposals. In the long run, it helps in capital formation & financial progress for the nation.

KEY TAKEAWAYS

  • Inventory markets are very important parts of a free-market economic system as a result of they permit democratized entry to buying and selling and alternate of capital for traders of all types.
  • They carry out a number of features in markets, together with environment-friendly worth discovery and environment-friendly dealing.
  • Within the US, the inventory market is regulated by the SEC and native regulatory our bodies.

Examples of Inventory Markets

The primary inventory market on the planet was the London inventory alternate. It was begun in a coffeehouse, the place merchants used to satisfy to alternate shares, in 1773. The primary inventory alternate in the USA of America began in Philadelphia in 1790. The Buttonwood settlement, so named as a result of it was signed underneath a buttonwood tree, marked the beginnings of New York's Wall Avenue in 1792. The settlement was signed by 24 merchants and was the primary American group of its type to commerce in securities. The merchants renamed their enterprise as New York Inventory and Alternate Board in 1817.
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"Extreme Edge" Strategy - Low Risk and Stable for Copying.

Extreme Edge Strategy
READ THIS BEFORE MAKING COPYING DECISIONS!

This strategy is simple one, but one of the most effective ones I know. I will explain the strategy in full in another post. When you learn the concepts of it, you should find profiting in trending markets to be far easier. When markets form in trending patterns, this is an extremely successful strategy.

The strategy may or may not trade a lot. It all depends on if the market fills specific levels where I consider there to be an “extreme edge” (literally, I think it is the best trade available on the market that happens often enough to build ongoing strategies around).

In ranging markets the default strategy does not work well, because it is designed for trend trading. However, in ranging markets trades will be generated from a slight adaptation, but the same entry principles.

Brokerage:
The strategy will work best on ECN brokers. For optimum results, it has a few requirements. Including tight spreads, good execution and ability to trail stops with no limitations. I am using IC Markets. You should be using a broker of similar quality.

For people who have to use brokers sub-par to IC Markets (for whatever reason), I will concurrently run a version of the strategy on higher time-frames. To get only these trades, set the copy trader to filter out trades with stop losses under 15 pips

Money Management:

This master account will trade only positions of 0.01. You can use your copy traders settings to select the lot size you want to use. It will trade a maximum of 4 positions. You can reduce risk by trading less positions using copy trader settings.

You should account for losing at least 250 pips per 0.01. This is around $25 (a bit less on some pairs). So if you are using *4 0.01, you should account for it being probable at some point $100 losing streak can be hit. Set your risk according to what you can lose, and if that is under $25; do not do this!

You can set your maximum loss using the copy trader, but if it will work out to be under 250 pips per 0.01, you are probably better scaling down risk. 250 pips is 10 - 25 losing trades in a row, which should be rare but can happen.

Make sure you set up (and test) that you are using the right settings. The right fixed lot size and the right number of trades. The trading on my account will assume you have these risk caps in place and aim to be profitable on such parameters

READ THIS BEFORE MAKING COPYING DECISIONS!

Leverage and margin requirements:

The max risk version can be copied on 1:50 leverage with an account balance of $200.

Extra Notes:

. This strategy will always use pending orders. So it can be used as somewhat of a signals service as well as copying.

One thing I hope following this strategy can help people with is it showing them points where you are probably losing money (n00b mistakes) and how there can be a better trade on the other side.

This should become more clear upon reading the full strategy description, to be posted soon.

If copying, please do remember to take the time to test the copier settings and ensure they work properly.

READ THIS BEFORE MAKING COPYING DECISIONS!

Login Details
Platform: IC Markets MT4
MT4#:: 10333388
Investor Password: u/inweedwetrust

If linking any accounts, please send me details of Myfxbook/FX Blue so I can check results and make sure it runs properly.

READ THIS BEFORE MAKING COPYING DECISIONS!

Edit: Strategy description. https://www.reddit.com/Forexnoobs/comments/aet6am/the_best_single_trade_on_the_market_imo/
submitted by inweedwetrust to ForexCopy [link] [comments]

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